Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.045772 0.049814 0.053911 0.058370 0.063077 0.067892 0.073183
2025-01-19 0.039929 0.045903 0.052181 0.059244 0.066941 0.075051 0.084216
2025-01-26 0.034495 0.041750 0.049631 0.058767 0.069004 0.080065 0.092858
2025-02-02 0.030604 0.038844 0.048068 0.059048 0.071652 0.085561 0.101963
2025-02-09 0.027917 0.036999 0.047444 0.060172 0.075085 0.091839 0.111914
2025-02-16 0.026403 0.036345 0.048053 0.062602 0.079946 0.099719 0.123720
2025-02-23 0.022810 0.032858 0.045022 0.060487 0.079287 0.101075 0.127904
2025-03-02 0.020383 0.030616 0.043317 0.059799 0.080178 0.104133 0.133992
2025-03-09 0.018386 0.028757 0.041944 0.059384 0.081291 0.107375 0.140247
2025-03-16 0.017647 0.028492 0.042544 0.061400 0.085370 0.114186 0.150795
2025-03-23 0.016627 0.027760 0.042468 0.062503 0.088279 0.119567 0.159640
2025-03-30 0.015601 0.026938 0.042206 0.063312 0.090783 0.124440 0.167877
2025-04-06 0.014154 0.025443 0.041001 0.062876 0.091734 0.127464 0.173980
2025-04-13 0.013300 0.024755 0.040853 0.063816 0.094448 0.132705 0.182865
2025-04-20 0.012060 0.023393 0.039690 0.063325 0.095256 0.135527 0.188748
2025-04-27 0.011173 0.022506 0.039143 0.063627 0.097077 0.139623 0.196238
2025-05-04 0.010618 0.022098 0.039252 0.064813 0.100060 0.145209 0.205628
2025-05-11 0.010483 0.022358 0.040337 0.067373 0.104906 0.153231 0.218163
2025-05-18 0.009105 0.020448 0.038102 0.065148 0.103218 0.152740 0.219827
2025-05-25 0.008224 0.019305 0.036957 0.064424 0.103523 0.154812 0.224748
2025-06-01 0.007484 0.018348 0.036043 0.063987 0.104189 0.157334 0.230242
2025-06-08 0.007361 0.018496 0.036864 0.066110 0.108432 0.164618 0.241956
2025-06-15 0.007040 0.018252 0.037044 0.067270 0.111329 0.170129 0.251392